The production of sugar can fall 14 pc to 28.2 TM in the next commercial campaign: ISMA

New Delhi, July 1 () It is estimated that India's sugar production will decrease by 14 percent to 28.2 million tons in the next commercial season that begins in October, mainly due to the fall in sugar cane area due to to the lowest rains in states like Maharashtra and Karnataka, according to the industry. body isma.

Sugar production is likely to be 32.95 million tons (MT) in the current 2018-19 (October-September) marketing year, the Sugar Mills Association of India (ISMA) said in a statement.

The mills have produced 32.8 MT of sugar until June and another 0.1-0.15 MT are expected over the next three months, bringing the total production to 32.9-32.95 MT. The annual domestic demand is around 26.5 MT.

ISMA estimates a production of approximately 28.2 MT of sugar in the 2019-20 season, which is about 4.7 MT lower than the current production of the 2018-19 sugar season of about 32.95 MT, the association said in a statement.

He added that this estimated production is based on the assumption of normal rainfall and other optimal conditions.

Based on the satellite images obtained in the last part of June 2019, the total area of ​​sugar cane cultivation in the country is estimated at around 49.31 lakh of hectares in 2019-20, which is more than 10% lower to the cane of the 2018-19 sugar season area of ​​about 55.02 lakh hectares, said ISMA.

According to ISMA estimates for the next marketing year 2019-20, sugar production in Uttar Pradesh is estimated at around 12 MT, almost equal to 11.82 MT in the current year.

The other major sugar producing state, the Maharashtra cane area, has been reduced by approximately 30 percent by 2019-20, mainly due to low rainfall since September 2018 onwards, followed by low reservoir levels, that negatively affected the sowing of 15 months and 12 months. crops, said the association.

Therefore, it is estimated that sugar production will decrease by around 7 MT from 10.71 MT in 2018-19.

Like Maharashtra, due to low rainfall in cane growing areas, the area of ​​sugarcane in Karnataka has also decreased by 2019-20, said ISMA. It is estimated that sugar production in the state will fall by 3.5 MT from 4.36 MT in 2018-19.

ISMA said that this is a preliminary estimate of the production of sugarcane and sugar for the 2019-20 marketing year.

After considering the rainfall in July-September 2019, the water situation in the reservoirs and the second series of satellite images in September-October 2019 for all of India, ISMA will review the analysis and publish its first advance estimates. By that time, the crop will be more mature and there will be more clarity about rain and water availability, the association said.

ISMA said that initial sugar stocks are expected to be at an all-time high of around 14.5 MT compared to the regulatory requirement of around 5 MT. From the estimates for next year's production, it is clear that there will still be a small surplus over the domestic requirement in the 2019-20 sugar season, and, therefore, India will need to export sugar next year as well. said the association. MJH ANU